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Bleacher Report’s Expert Week 3 NFL Picks

Bleacher Report’s Expert Week 3 NFL Picks

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    Tyreek Hill (Rob Carr/Getty Images)

    When the going gets tough, you continue to swing for
    the fences—that’s what our NFL experts will do after another 7-9

    Kirk Cousins has a new head coach, but his usual Monday Night
    letdown sank our consensus picks below .500. Through two weeks, we’ve learned valuable lessons from previous shortcomings and will apply that wisdom for a
    money-making Week 3 outcome.

    NFL analysts Gary Davenport, Brent
    , Kris
    and Maurice
    ; editors Ian
    and Wes
    ; and B/R Betting host of Winners Only Wednesdays Greg
    had a meeting of minds this week. Still unafraid to go
    bold, they’re in on four road underdogs, and they’ve picked two 0-2 teams that will
    try to get off the schneid in the opponent’s building.

    Before we look ahead to our Week 3 picks, let’s take a
    look at the overall expert standings with last week’s results in parantheses.

    1. Moton: 16-16 (8-8)

    T-2. Davenport: 14-18 (8-8)

    T-2. Ivory: 14-18 (6-10)

    T-2. Kenyon: 14-18 (7-9)

    T-2. O’Donnell: 14-18 (6-10)

    3. Knox: 13-19 (6-10)

    4. Sobleski: 11-21 (6-10)

    Consensus picks: 14-18

    Lines are from DraftKings as of Wednesday, Sept. 21, at 4 p.m. ET. Check
    DraftKings for the latest odds info. Information on public betting trends is
    courtesy of the
    Action Network. ATS
    records are provided by
    Team Rankings.

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) at Cleveland Browns (1-1)

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    Najee Harris (Joe Sargent/Getty Images)

    Browns -4.5

    After victories in their season openers, both the Pittsburgh
    Steelers and Cleveland Browns lost tight battles in Week 2, but the latter team
    probably feels the sting a little more than the former.

    Last week, the Steelers never gained a lead over the New England Patriots
    and lost 17-14. Meanwhile, the Browns fell apart with
    one minute and 22 seconds left in regulation, giving up 14 points to the New
    York Jets in that short time span.

    In 2021, the Steelers swept the season series with the Browns in Ben
    Roethlisberger’s farewell year, winning both contests by at least five points.
    Mitch Trubisky has taken over the offense, and he’s faltered, throwing for just
    362 yards, two touchdowns and an interception with a 59.2 percent completion
    rate. On top of that, Pittsburgh’s ground attack ranks 26th behind a shaky offensive line that has slowly trended in the right direction.

    Yet Kenyon sees an easy-money bet because of the Browns’ limited quarterback.

    “Any time you can get 4.5 points in a game that Jacoby Brissett is
    the opponent’s starter, it is probably smart to take the points. The Browns are
    coming off an embarrassing fourth-quarter collapse against the Jets after
    barely squeezing out a victory over the lowly Carolina Panthers. Yes, the Steelers won’t have T.J. Watt (torn pectoral), share the same 1-1 record and will be playing this game
    on the road, but they already have a win against the defending AFC
    champion Bengals and lost a close game to Bill Belichick. I would take the
    Steelers straight up; getting 4.5 points feels like stealing.”

    Even if the Browns win a low-scoring slugfest, the crew believes
    4.5 points is a wide margin for two teams that struggle to push the ball
    downfield. Cleveland and Pittsburgh rank 26th and 28th, respectively, in
    passing yards.


    Davenport: Steelers

    Ivory: Steelers

    Kenyon: Steelers

    Knox: Steelers

    Moton: Steelers

    O’Donnell: Browns

    Sobleski: Steelers

    Consensus: Steelers +4.5

    Prediction: Steelers 23, Browns 21

Houston Texans (0-1-1) at Chicago Bears (1-1)

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    Justin Fields (AP Photo/Mike Roemer)

    Bears -3

    Within the first two weeks of the season, neither of these teams
    have put together an offensive masterpiece, but both rank within the top
    12 in points allowed. This matchup isn’t going to yield a lot of points, but
    Moton sees the same weakness in both defenses.

    “The offensive coordinators for both teams should implement a
    run-heavy game plan. Through two weeks, the Chicago Bears have allowed the most
    rushing yards, while the Houston Texans have permitted the third-most yards on
    the ground,” he said.

    “David Montgomery and Dameon Pierce will have a busy day for the
    Bears and Texans, respectively, but Chicago can add extra wrinkles to its
    ground attack with backup running back Khalil Herbert and dynamic quarterback
    Justin Fields. At 32 years old, Rex Burkhead doesn’t have the pep in his step
    to push Houston’s run game over the top. The Bears’ eighth-ranked ground attack
    should outpace the Texans’ 27th-ranked rushing offense Sunday.”

    Moton’s vote of confidence in Chicago’s run game broke the tie,
    which tilts our consensus in the Bears’ favor.


    Davenport: Bears

    Ivory: Bears

    Kenyon: Bears

    Knox: Texans

    Moton: Bears

    O’Donnell: Texans

    Sobleski: Texans

    Consensus: Bears -3

    Prediction: Bears 21, Texans 16

Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-1-1)

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    Patrick Mahomes (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

    Chiefs -6.5

    Our experts couldn’t find a
    reason to take the Indianapolis Colts against the spread, and the public has
    gone heavy on the Kansas City Chiefs with 67 percent of wagers on the road favorite.

    How can you blame the majority

    The Chiefs offense hasn’t skipped
    a beat without wideout Tyreek Hill. Their passing attack ranks sixth, and
    quarterback Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 595 yards, seven touchdowns and zero
    interceptions with a 73 percent completion rate.

    Bettors should compare
    Mahomes’ numbers to Colts quarterback Matt Ryan’s passing statistics (547
    yards, one touchdown and four interceptions with a 60 percent completion rate)
    to see why Kansas City heads into this game as the heavy favorite.

    Moton also made his decision
    based on the quarterback matchup.

    “Usually, when everyone picks one
    team it makes you think twice, but the Colts offense looks dreadful with Ryan
    in his age-37 term. If he cannot move the ball through the air, running back
    Jonathan Taylor will face a tough challenge against loaded boxes. The 2021 rushing
    champion ran for just 54 yards in a 24-0 blowout loss to the Jacksonville
    Jaguars last week.

    “Meanwhile, the Chiefs’ aerial
    attack still looks phenomenal without Hill because one of the league’s top
    quarterbacks spearheads the offensive attack. Kansas City should win big
    over a team that struggled to score against the Houston Texans and Jaguars.”


    Davenport: Chiefs

    Ivory: Chiefs

    Kenyon: Chiefs

    Knox: Chiefs

    Moton: Chiefs

    O’Donnell: Chiefs

    Sobleski: Chiefs

    Consensus: Chiefs -6.5

    Prediction: Chiefs 31, Colts 20

Baltimore Ravens (1-1) at New England Patriots (1-1)

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    Lamar Jackson (AP Photo/Nick Wass)

    Ravens -3

    Even though the Baltimore Ravens
    have a clear edge in quarterback talent with Lamar Jackson, the spread suggests we’re
    in for a tight battle. The oddsmakers set this line for a good reason.

    Though the Ravens have a dynamic signal-caller
    who can create something out of nothing, they field the worst pass defense (ranked 32nd in yards allowed) headed into Week 3. We saw evidence of that as Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua
    Tagovailoa recorded career
    in multiple passing categories against Baltimore last week, throwing
    for 469 yards, six touchdowns (two interceptions) with a 124.1 passer rating.

    Fortunately for Baltimore, New
    England has stretched defenses on plays few and far between. Quarterback Mac
    Jones only has two touchdown passes with a couple of interceptions.

    Like everyone else on the panel, Ivory chose the superior offense, and he noted a trend that’s unfavorable to the Patriots.

    “I’m looking for the Ravens to bounce back in
    this spot after collapsing late and losing to the Dolphins last week. The
    defense has struggled to stop the pass while the offense is clicking. I don’t
    think a Mac Jones-led Patriots team can keep up the scoring with Lamar Jackson and
    the Ravens. Plus, the Patriots are 2-5 in their last seven games ATS. I’m
    riding the trend and the Ravens to win this one.”


    Davenport: Ravens

    Ivory: Ravens

    Kenyon: Ravens

    Knox: Ravens

    Moton: Ravens

    O’Donnell: Ravens

    Sobleski: Ravens

    Consensus: Ravens -3

    Prediction: Ravens 28, Patriots 23

New Orleans Saints (1-1) at Carolina Panthers (0-2)

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    Jameis Winston (Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

    Saints -2.5

    Based on the 2.5-point spread, bettors should be careful with
    this matchup. Also, as Knox points out, the New Orleans Saints come into this
    game with some big question marks.

    “Maybe it’s the uncertain status of Alvin Kamara
    (ribs), or perhaps it’s Fox Sports’ Jay Glazer’s report that Jameis Winston is playing with four
    fractured vertebrae, but I have a feeling that this is going to be a very weird
    game for New Orleans. Winston can be pressured into mistakes, and the
    Panthers have a strong defensive front, so I think the miscues come in bunches
    as they did against the Bucs last week.

    “On paper, this should be an easy cover for New
    Orleans. However, I see this being a lot like the NO-ATL game in Week 1.
    The Saints and Panthers split the series last year, with each side winning at home.
    I’m not convinced that Carolina actually pulls out the win, but I think a
    desperate team at home makes this excruciatingly close.”

    If Kamara suits up, that should put anyone who took the
    Saints by a field goal at ease because he can take a lot of pressure off Winston. On the other hand, if the star running back misses consecutive contests, you may have second thoughts about
    taking New Orleans against the spread (we sure will).

    On Monday, Saints head coach Dennis Allen said
    Kamara is “feeling a bit better,” and he got in a limited practice on Wednesday.


    Davenport: Saints

    Ivory: Saints

    Kenyon: Saints

    Knox: Panthers

    Moton: Saints

    O’Donnell: Saints

    Sobleski: Saints

    Consensus: Saints -2.5

    Prediction: Saints 23, Panthers 17

Las Vegas Raiders (0-2) at Tennessee Titans (0-2)

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    Davante Adams (AP Photo/David Becker)

    Raiders -2

    do you hear the words “must win” attached to a Week 3 contest, but in a stacked
    AFC, these 2021 playoff teams badly need a victory for 2022 postseason aspirations.

    Week 2, the Las Vegas Raiders tasted defeat in an embarrassing fashion with a 29-23 overtime loss to an Arizona Cardinals squad (without three-time All-Pro wideout DeAndre
    Hopkins) that trailed 20-0 at halftime.

    This week, quarterback Derek Carr said
    the team has to “learn
    how to win

    after head coach Josh McDaniels spent the entire offseason teaching the squad “how
    not to lose

    the Raiders, the Titans lost in a heartbreaker when kicker Randy Bullock missed
    a 47-yard field goal to beat the New York Giants in Week 1, but the Buffalo
    Bills ran them off the field with a 41-7 victory in Week 2.

    these floundering teams, Davenport thinks the Titans will control the game
    flow with the 2019 and 2020 rushing champion bludgeoning a bottom-third defense.

    Given how genuinely
    awful the 0-2 Titans looked Monday night against the Buffalo Bills, Tennessee
    is a hard team to be enthusiastic about. But the 0-2 Raiders have problems of
    their own, including a defense that ranks 23rd in the league after two weeks,”
    he said.

    sets up a game between two desperate teams where the Titans might actually be
    able to get Derrick Henry going, and if they can do that, they can control
    the game’s tempo and finally establish at least a little positive momentum. Or
    at least that’s what I keep trying to tell myself.”

    a clash of offensive styles, our crew chose the Raiders’ pass-happy attack with
    Davante Adams, Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow over the Titans’ run-heavy
    approach that features Henry, who is averaging just 3.1 yards per carry.


    Davenport: Titans

    Ivory: Raiders

    Kenyon: Raiders

    Knox: Raiders

    Moton: Raiders

    O’Donnell: Raiders

    Sobleski: Raiders

    Consensus: Raiders -2

    Prediction: Raiders 28, Titans 24

Detroit Lions (1-1) at Minnesota Vikings (1-1)

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    D’Andre Swift (Rey Del Rio/Getty Images)

    Vikings -6

    Coming off a 24-7 Monday Night Football loss to the
    Philadelphia Eagles, the Minnesota Vikings will look to rebound against a
    division rival in the Detroit Lions, who have scored the second-most points and
    racked up the fourth-most yards leaguewide.

    Most of our panelists think the Vikings will redeem themselves with a win at
    home, but they’re not ready to lay the points on them with one of the league’s
    most productive offenses in their building.

    O’Donnell presented arguments for and against the Vikings, but he
    sided with the team that he believes needs a signature win Sunday.

    “Consider this my doubling down on Kirk Cousins and
    the Vikes. Nobody was really surprised to see one of the NFL’s statistically worst
    Monday Night Football quarterbacks stumble face first into despair on the road
    against an Eagles team that is peaking a little too early. A lot of folks, this
    panel included, are high on the Lions coming off their first victory of the
    season. They are 2-0 ATS,
    13-6 ATS in Dan Campbell’s tenure if we add last season (and that includes a
    1-1 straight up record and 2-0 ATS record vs. Minnesota), and the Lions took
    the same Eagles team that just thrashed the Vikes to the brink in Week 1; I
    respectfully understand all of that.

    “But a six-point-favored Vikings team is probably more
    than most anticipated, and that has me thinking the bookmakers are seeing things
    the way I do: Cousins and the Vikes offense will bounce back aggressively in
    this one. Detroit has proven to always be a threat to kick open the backdoor,
    but I’m taking a page out of Jim
    Fassel’s book
    early here in the season and backing a Vikings
    team that needs to make a statement against a division threat in emphatic


    Davenport: Lions

    Ivory: Lions

    Kenyon: Vikings

    Knox: Lions

    Moton: Lions

    O’Donnell: Vikings

    Sobleski: Lions

    Consensus: Lions +6

    Prediction: Vikings 33, Lions 30

Cincinnati Bengals (0-2) at New York Jets (1-1)

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    Joe Burrow (Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

    Bengals -5

    This past offseason, the Cincinnati Bengals revamped their
    offensive line, signing center Ted Karras, right guard Alex Cappa and right
    tackle La’el Collins. Despite those additions, quarterback Joe Burrow has taken
    13 sacks (most in the
    ), and he’s thrown more interceptions (four) than touchdowns

    Coming off a 20-17 loss to the Dallas Cowboys, who had backup
    quarterback Cooper Rush in for an injured Dak Prescott, the Bengals seem like
    they’re battling a hangover from a Super Bowl loss to the Los Angeles Rams.

    While Knox believes the Bengals will snap a three-game losing
    streak, he doesn’t see them doing so in dominant fashion.

    “I believe this will be a confidence-building game
    for the Bengals, but not in the traditional sense. I think we’ll see Cincinnati
    pull out a close one after losing back-to-back games in nail-biting fashion,”
    Knox said.

    “Joe Burrow seems to be struggling with pressure
    recognition and pocket awareness right now, and that’s an issue against a very
    talented front seven. Ideally, Cincinnati would take pressure off Burrow via
    the ground game, but I see another underwhelming rushing performance by Joe
    Mixon. Another up-and-down day awaits the Cincinnati offense. The Jets,
    meanwhile, are finding an offensive groove behind Michael Carter, Garrett
    Wilson and Co. I’d be more inclined to lean Bengals if Zach Wilson was under
    center, but Joe Flacco (two turnovers in two weeks) has been relatively careful
    with the ball, so I just don’t see a big margin here.”

    Keep in mind that before the 2021 Bengals went on a
    hot streak, they lost 34-31 to the Jets, who had backup quarterback Mike White
    under center in place of Wilson.

    With Burrow, Mixon, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, the Bengals have the offensive talent to blow out Gang Green,
    which explains why they’re the consensus pick, but their pass-protection and
    turnover issues could allow the Jets to stay close and cover the spread.


    Davenport: Bengals

    Ivory: Bengals

    Kenyon: Jets

    Knox: Jets

    Moton: Bengals

    O’Donnell: Bengals

    Sobleski: Bengals

    Consensus: Bengals -5

    Prediction: Bengals 27, Jets 21

Buffalo Bills (2-0) at Miami Dolphins (2-0)

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    Tyreek Hill (Randy Litzinger/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

    Bills -6

    The Buffalo Bills have trounced the reigning champion Los Angeles
    Rams 31-10 and delivered a 41-7 beatdown to the Tennessee Titans, who finished as the No. 1 seed in the AFC last year. They look dominant on both sides of the ball with quarterback Josh Allen
    (614 passing yards, seven touchdown passes and two interceptions with a 75.4 percent completion rate)
    performing at an MVP level, and edge-rusher Von Miller (two sacks, three
    and four tackles for loss) giving the defense a significant boost on all three downs.

    With that said, our consensus came down to O’Donnell, who backed
    the Bills in Week 1 over the Rams and took them
    to cover a massive 10-point spread against the Tennessee Titans in Week 2. This time, he
    took the points over Buffalo.

    “One of the rare times I find myself opposite my
    MVP pick, Josh Allen, and the Bills. This is less about Tua’s monster
    Week 2 performance and more of a feeling that the Bills have to come down to earth
    a bit, especially because they still can’t figure out their running game and they’re taking on a different Dolphins team from last season that can cause problems.

    “This game not being just a field-goal spread,
    plus Miami having an extra day to prepare, gives me faith in the points being
    the best play (similar to the Los Angeles Chargers at the Kansas City Chiefs last week), even if a victory isn’t
    the ultimate result.”

    Also worthy of note, Buffalo may
    have two rookies, first-rounder Kaiir Elam and sixth-rounder Christian Benford, matched up
    with a pair of explosive wideouts in All-Pro Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle on the
    perimeter. Per NFL Network’s Mike Garafolo, Bills starting cornerback Dane
    Jackson avoided a serious (head/neck) injury. With that said, he could miss time
    to recover. By the way, head coach Sean McDermott said safety Micah Hyde had to get checked out at the
    hospital for a neck injury as well.

    Against a banged-up and inexperienced Bills
    secondary, the Dolphins can score enough points to make this one a nail-biter.


    Davenport: Dolphins

    Ivory: Bills

    Kenyon: Dolphins

    Knox: Bills

    Moton: Dolphins

    O’Donnell: Dolphins

    Sobleski: Bills

    Consensus: Dolphins +6

    Prediction: Bills 35, Dolphins 31

Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) at Washington Commanders (1-1)

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    Jalen Hurts (AP Photo/Chris Szagola)

    Eagles -6.5

    The Philadelphia Eagles had a
    convincing win over the Minnesota Vikings under the bright lights of the Monday
    Night Football
    stage. On a short week, they must refocus to face a division
    rival led by their former quarterback, Carson Wentz.

    Though the Eagles offense has
    made strides with dynamic third-year quarterback Jalen Hurts and his new lead
    wide receiver in A.J. Brown, who’s caught 15 passes for 224 yards, Sobleski acknowledged the Washington Commanders have a lot of offensive talent as well.

    “The Eagles are on a roll to start this season. Hurts and Co. are 2-0 with the league’s top-ranked offense in yards.
    But the Commanders aren’t far behind their division rival. The transition to
    Carson Wentz has gone better than expected. Washington’s offense averages 306.5
    passing yards per game so far.

    “Eagles cornerback Darius Slay may be coming
    off one of the best games of his career, but the Commanders have
    three legitimate threats at wide receiver in Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel and
    rookie Jahan Dotson. In fact, Dotson’s three receiving touchdowns lead
    all rookies
    . Maybe an anticipated Wentz meltdown is due, especially against
    his old team, but in the end, Washington has more than enough firepower to keep
    pace with the Eagles.”

    Wentz’s first matchup against his former club will dominate the headlines, but he must keep his emotions in check. The
    Commanders signal-caller has thrown three interceptions, and the Eagles have forced
    four turnovers in two weeks. If Wentz tries to fit one too many passes into
    tight windows, Philadelphia’s opportunistic defense will make him pay for it.

    We had a close call, but the majority of our
    group can see Wentz making an error that changes the game in favor of the


    Davenport: Eagles

    Ivory: Eagles

    Kenyon: Commanders

    Knox: Eagles

    Moton: Eagles

    O’Donnell: Commanders

    Sobleski: Commanders

    Consensus: Eagles -6.5

    Prediction: Eagles 31, Commanders 23

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at Los Angeles Chargers (1-1)

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    Austin Ekeler (Cooper Neill/Getty Images)

    Chargers -7

    The Los Angeles Chargers have had extra time to make corrections and get healthy after a 27-24 Thursday night loss to
    the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 2, but they’ll face a Jacksonville Jaguars team that put
    together an impressive (24-0) shutout victory over the Indianapolis Colts last

    Thus far, the Jaguars have stood out to Sobleski with their play on both sides of the ball.

    “This selection is a nod to the Jaguars’
    improvement under the direction of head coach Doug Pederson. The Chargers
    are a better squad overall. However, Jacksonville has shown signs of life
    after back-to-back seasons as the league’s worst team. Quarterback Trevor
    Lawrence is working in rhythm as part of a much-improved offensive scheme.
    Christian Kirk looks like a legitimate No. 1 receiver with 12 catches for 195
    yards and two touchdowns in his first two games with the franchise.

    “On defense, the Jaguars are physical and
    athletic. Jacksonville’s front line dominated the Colts in Week 2. The Chargers are the favorite to win this game for a reason—because they’re one
    of the league’s most talented teams—but the underdog Jaguars can keep
    this one close.”

    The Chargers’ scoring power likely hinges upon
    quarterback Justin Herbert’s condition as he deals with fractured rib
    and wideout Keenan Allen’s status (hamstring). If both head into
    this contest with little to no lingering effects from their injuries, Los
    Angeles can rack up 30-plus points. But if Herbert plays tentatively, the Jaguars
    defensive linemen may smell blood in the pocket and attack.

    In the event that Allen doesn’t suit up, we
    could see more of Joshua Palmer, who caught four passes for 30 yards and a
    touchdown last week, though tight end Gerald Everett and DeAndre Carter could also help fill the five-time Pro Bowl receiver’s void as they did against the Chiefs.


    Davenport: Chargers

    Ivory: Chargers

    Kenyon: Jaguars

    Knox: Chargers

    Moton: Chargers

    O’Donnell: Chargers

    Sobleski: Jaguars

    Consensus: Chargers -7

    Prediction: Chargers 30, Jaguars 20

Los Angeles Rams (1-1) at Arizona Cardinals (1-1)

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    Cooper Kupp (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

    Rams -3.5

    To put Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray’s Week 2
    comeback performance into perspective, he pulled a rabbit out of his hat, running
    all across the field
    to keep
    his team alive for a 29-23 overtime victory over the Las Vegas Raiders.

    For a team to make a big comeback, the other squad
    must also collapse. Kenyon doesn’t think the Cardinals will pull off a comeback against a club that throttled them in the 2021 playoffs.

    “The Kliff-Kyler tandem looked like it was falling apart last
    week after the Cardinals fell into a 20-0 hole early before making a miraculous
    second-half comeback. Consider me skeptical that they will maintain that
    momentum against the defending Super Bowl champions. With the Rams being able
    to generate so much interior pressure with Aaron Donald, it should be a long
    day for Kyler Murray, who threw for 137 yards, zero touchdowns and two interceptions in their last matchup
    in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs last year.”

    Without star wideout DeAndre Hopkins, who’s serving a
    six-game suspension for violating the league’s performance-enhancing drug
    policy, the Cardinals’ aerial attack could struggle with Donald on the interior
    and cornerback Jalen Ramsey in the secondary. Nonetheless, as we saw last week,
    Murray’s legs can become an equalizer, which swayed three of our panelists away
    from the consensus.


    Davenport: Cardinals

    Ivory: Cardinals

    Kenyon: Rams

    Knox: Rams

    Moton: Rams

    O’Donnell: Rams

    Sobleski: Cardinals

    Consensus: Rams -3.5

    Prediction: Rams 31, Cardinals 26

Atlanta Falcons (0-2) at Seattle Seahawks (1-1)

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    Marcus Mariota (Chris Williams/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

    Seahawks -2

    Our group likes this scrappy Atlanta Falcons squad. In Week 1,
    they almost outright beat the New Orleans Saints but still covered a 5.5-point
    . Last week, the NFC South club covered a 10.5-point line in a
    matchup with the Los Angeles Rams, scoring 17 points in the final eight-and-a-half minutes of that game.

    Against a lesser team than its last two opponents, Atlanta has a
    shot to jump into the win column and end a four-game losing streak that
    dates back to the 2021 campaign.

    Moton doesn’t see it that way, though. He’s intrigued by Seattle Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll’s comments
    about the offensive philosophy.

    “On Monday, Carroll admitted that
    the Seahawks have run a ‘solidly
    ’ offense, and he seems ready to
    let Geno Smith cook or at least give him more freedom to make plays downfield.
    Seattle should trust him,” he said.

    “Last year, Smith played four
    games in offensive coordinator Shane Waldron’s system and started in place of Russell Wilson, who underwent
    surgery on his finger, for three of those contests, throwing for 702 yards,
    five touchdowns and an interception with a 68.4 percent completion rate. He
    could see a spike in production with a more leeway in the offense and
    wideouts DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett on the perimeter, especially in this
    matchup against the Falcons’ 22nd-ranked pass defense.”

    On Seattle Sports 710 AM’s Pete Carroll
    , the Seahawks lead skipper said
    they need to “keep expanding” offensively. Four of
    our panelists sided with Atlanta, but Moton believes Smith has enough talent around
    him to pull off the victory.


    Davenport: Seahawks

    Ivory: Falcons

    Kenyon: Seahawks

    Knox: Falcons

    Moton: Seahawks

    O’Donnell: Falcons

    Sobleski: Falcons

    Consensus: Falcons +2

    Prediction: Falcons 24, Seahawks 21

Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0)

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    Aaron Jones (AP Photo/Mike Roemer)

    Buccaneers -1.5

    Recently, Aaron Rodgers hasn’t fared well against the Tampa
    Bay Buccaneers, losing both of his 2020 outings against them (one in the
    NFC Championship Game).

    However, Rodgers has a team that’s trended in the right direction
    in terms of health. Though left tackle David Bakhtiari continues to work his
    way back from rehab on a torn ACL, Pro Bowl offensive lineman Elgton Jenkins and wide
    receiver Allen Lazard made their 2022 season debuts last week.

    We also saw the emergence of Green Bay’s ground attack as Aaron
    Jones and AJ Dillon recorded a combined 33 rush attempts for 193 yards and a
    touchdown against the Chicago Bears.

    Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers signed Cole Beasley to
    the practice squad—likely because of a thin wide receiver unit. In response to
    an appeal, the league upheld its decision
    to suspend Mike Evans for violating the player-safety policy after his involvement
    in an on-field skirmish last week. Chris Godwin and Julio Jones didn’t suit up
    in Week 2 because of hamstring injuries and missed practice on Wednesday.

    Moton’s concerns about Tom Brady’s supporting cast influenced him
    to give Green Bay the nod.

    “Brady has a backup center in Robert Hainsey and a rookie left
    guard in Luke Goedeke. Last week, left tackle Donovan Smith didn’t play because
    of a hyperextended elbow. His replacement, Josh Wells, went down with a calf
    injury, and the team placed him on injured reserve Wednesday. Now, he won’t have Evans because of a suspension. Meanwhile, Godwin and Jones remain questionable.

    “Tampa Bay’s defense will keep the score close, but Brady doesn’t
    have enough around him with running back Leonard Fournette and wideout
    Russell Gage as his primary playmakers. The Packers will grind down the
    Buccaneers’ defensive front with their rushing attack for a victory in a
    low-scoring matchup.”


    Davenport: Packers

    Ivory: Packers

    Kenyon: Buccaneers

    Knox: Buccaneers

    Moton: Packers

    O’Donnell: Packers

    Sobleski: Packers

    Consensus: Packers +1.5

    Prediction: Packers 21, Buccaneers 20

San Francisco 49ers (1-1) at Denver Broncos (1-1)

15 of 16

    Deebo Samuel (AP Photo/Scot Tucker)

    49ers -1.5

    new head coach Nathaniel Hackett, the Denver Broncos offense still needs that get-right moment.

    a stunning 17-16 season-opening loss to the Seattle Seahawks, the Broncos
    barely beat the Houston Texans in another clunky performance that included 13
    penalties for 100 yards. Denver converted only three of its 12
    third-down situations into first downs. By the way, the club trailed 9-6 heading into the fourth quarter.

    Sunday, the Broncos will go up against a well-coached 49ers squad that has quarterback
    Jimmy Garoppolo back under center after Trey Lance suffered a season-ending
    ankle injury.

    Despite the Broncos’ sloppy execution,
    Davenport senses that Denver will get its act together on the field.

    “Given how completely out of sorts the Broncos have looked in
    their first two games, this smacks a bit of getting cute—and getting cute very
    rarely works out. But I can’t shake the notion that the Broncos are a better
    team than what we’ve seen the first two weeks of the season, and if they can
    just stop shooting themselves in the foot, they’ll show it.

    “With Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback, the Niners are going to
    run the ball, play defense and try to win close ones. It’s a recipe that has
    worked in the past, but Sunday night it sets the stage for Russell Wilson to
    pull off some late-game heroics in a win that should soothe some of the frayed
    nerves in Denver.”

    The oddsmakers set the line for an even contest, but if the
    Broncos continue to commit unforced errors, the 49ers should cover with


    Davenport: Broncos

    Ivory: 49ers

    Kenyon: 49ers

    Knox: 49ers

    Moton: 49ers

    O’Donnell: 49ers

    Sobleski: 49ers

    Consensus: 49ers -1.5

    Prediction: 49ers 24, Broncos 20

Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at New York Giants (2-0)

16 of 16

    Saquon Barkley (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)

    Giants -1

    Before you wager your hard-earned
    money, remember, Cooper Rush is 2-0 as the Dallas Cowboys’ starting quarterback,
    and defensive coordinator Dan Quinn has a top-10 unit in points (tied for ninth) and yards (sixth) allowed.

    In other words, the Cowboys know
    how to win ugly without quarterback Dak Prescott. That’s how they pulled out a 20-17 victory over the
    Cincinnati Bengals, who have big-name players such as Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr
    Chase and Joe Mixon.

    With that said, the New York Giants have
    done the same in the first two weeks. They haven’t scored more than 21 points
    in either game. Moreover, the Big Blue passing offense has accumulated
    the second-fewest yards. Yet this is one of six clubs with a 2-0 record.

    The Giants have leaned heavily on
    running back Saquon Barkley, who leads the league in rushing with 236 yards. In a key matchup, he’s going
    against the Cowboys’ 19th-ranked run defense, which hasn’t allowed a touchdown.

    Ivory chose the home favorite with
    skepticism directed toward the Cowboys.

    “No Prescott, no problem for Dallas? Is Rush the real deal? Will Michael Gallup be back? There are a lot of
    questions around the team. While the Giants seem to be figuring
    out the winning aspect early in the season, they have questions around
    their offense as well. I’m rocking with the home team. It’s a division
    game with a lot of uncertainties on both sides, so look for home-field advantage to matter. New York is 2-0 against the spread, and that trend will continue.”


    Davenport: Cowboys

    Ivory: Giants

    Kenyon: Giants

    Knox: Cowboys

    Moton: Cowboys

    O’Donnell: Giants

    Sobleski: Giants

    Consensus: Giants -1

    Prediction: Giants 23, Cowboys 20

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