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College football betting, odds: Dillon Gabriel leads value Heisman options

Since our Saturdays will undoubtedly be filled up with college football for another four months, let’s take one last peek at the Heisman Trophy market to see if we are able to uncover some value bets prior to the chaos starts.

Bryce Young edged out C.J. Stroud to win the Heisman last season, and both quarterbacks go back to the very best of the board because of this year’s sequel. Their positions seem sensible considering Alabama and Ohio State project to function as top two teams in the united kingdom, and the award typically falls in the hands of quarterbacks who’ve quite strong statistical seasons on very successful teams.

In the last 12 years, only DeVonta Smith and Derrick Henry have already been in a position to pry the Heisman out from the hands of quarterbacks. And in both cases, Smith and Henry were section of championship teams at Alabama. If you want to have a shot on a new player who is not a quarterback, my advice is to ensure he plays for a team with real potential to win a national title.

The task with betting Stroud or Young is that there is not much to get. Their it’s likely that already short, and when the growing season plays out needlessly to say, you will have opportunities to bet them in-season at an identical price. Prior to the season, I favor to have a chance at long shots who could see their odds shorten significantly following a few big games. THEREFORE I come up with three options who’ve both ability and possibility to disrupt the Heisman race.

FILE - Oklahoma quarterback Dillon Gabriel throws during an NCAA college football practice on Aug. 8, 2022, in Norman, Okla. Gabriel threw 32 touchdown passes and ranked second among all FBS players with 373.9 yards of total offense per game for UCF in 2020, but he played just three games in 2021 before a broken clavicle knocked him out for the remainder of the season. Gabriel now takes over at Oklahoma, which has playing time available at quarterback. (AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki, File)

Oklahoma quarterback Dillon Gabriel throws during practice on Aug. 8, 2022, in Norman, Oklahoma. (AP Photo/Sue Ogrocki, File)

Dillon Gabriel (+2000)

Oklahoma produced back-to-back Heisman winners from 2017-2018. Sure, Lincoln Riley is fully gone but don’t expect the Sooners’ offense to fall off with Jeff Lebby bringing his up-tempo offense to Norman. Furthermore, Gabriel gets a coach he previously had success with at UCF, however now with weapons like Marvin Mims and Theo Wease to unleash his full potential. Between Lebby’s aggressive play-calling and willingness to dial up big shots, Gabriel will be able to compile the statistical profile that keeps you in the Heisman conversation. A good schedule provides Sooners a go at a 10- or 11-win season. And when they win enough games, Gabriel will undoubtedly be hard to ignore.

TreVeyon Henderson (+2000)

The Ohio State Buckeyes enter the growing season with three strong candidates for the award: Stroud, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Henderson. But here’s why I believe the Buckeyes’ running back includes a possiblity to separate himself from his teammates. Highlights go quite a distance with the voters, and Henderson cheated runs of 40-plus yards six times last season. Only two running backs had more Breece Hall and Tyler Badie however they did so with at the very least 70 more carries than Henderson. Coming off his freshman season, Henderson decide to take on a more impressive role in college football’s most dynamic offense. Henderson’s big-play ability on a national stage are certain to get enough focus on make him a threat to take the award.

Malik Cunningham (+6600)

I’m going deep into long-shot territory with this particular one, butI already bet Louisville to outperform expectations this year. Cunningham is back for his senior year to check out through to a season where he fell just shy of 4,000 total yards and 40 touchdowns. He’ll top those numbers while producing another monster statistical season behind an offense returning the majority of its starters. It’s definitely not likely to be his performance on the field that takes him out of contention. It’ll be whether Louisville can win enough games to stay relevant.

At +6600 odds, I believe Cunningham is really a chance worth taking. Louisville’s schedule is back-loaded, using its toughest three games (Clemson, N.C. State, and Kentucky) falling in the season’s last three weeks. If it could go to that stretch with seven or eight wins, Cunningham could have the chance to impress voters against Clemson and N.C. State in back-to-back weeks. Even though it’s in a losing effort, I believe a dynamic performance against those defenses will make this bet become more active. That’s whatever you can require at 66-to-1.

Stats supplied by cfbstats.com.

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