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NOAA still predicts above-normal 2022 Atlantic hurricane season


NOAA still predicts above-normal 2022 Atlantic hurricane season

Tropical Storm Colin was the final named storm of the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane season, that your NOAA still predicts will undoubtedly be above-normal. File Image by National Hurricane Center.

Aug. 4 (UPI) — The National Weather Service on Thursday said it still anticipates an above-normal 2022 Atlantic hurricane season.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center said there was still a 60% chance of an above-normal hurricane season, down slightly from the 65% chance predicted in its May outlook.

“We’re just engaging in the peak months of August through October for hurricane development and we anticipate that more storms are along the way,” NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad said. “NOAA stands prepared to deliver timely and accurate forecasts and warnings to greatly help communities prepare before approaching storms.”

The probability of normal activity rose to 30%, as the NOAA said likelihood of a below-normal season remained at 10%.

Up to now the growing season has produced three named storms — Alex, Bonnie and Colin — no hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin.

The average hurricane season produces 14 named storms, seven which become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes.

The NOAA still predicts the growing season will produce 14-20 named storms, with six to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes.

“Though it is a relatively slow begin to hurricane season, without major storms developing in the Atlantic, this is simply not unusual and we therefore cannot afford to let our guard down,” FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell said.

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