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Polls show inflation tops Latinos’ minds and abortion concerns have spiked

A poll tracking Latino registered voters shows a dramatic jump in abortion as a high concern, though it still ranks below the rising cost of living and inflation.

The tracking poll, in its sixth year, showed that nearly half, 48%, of 400 Latinos surveyed nationally find the rising cost of living because the top issue Congress and the president have to address.

Women’s reproductive and abortion rights were the very best concern for 28% of these surveyed in the poll, commissioned by National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials Educational Fund, or NALEO.

That’s up from 4% of Latinos who named it as a high issue at exactly the same point in the poll prior to the 2018 midterms, said Arturo Vargas, executive director of NALEO’s educational fund.

Only 4% of Latinos in the brand new poll said they favored limiting or banning abortion.

Addressing mass shootings and gun violence and improving wages and jobs were the 3rd most mentioned concern, with each obtaining a mention by way of a quarter of the registered voters.

What we have been seeing here’s Latinos have become much worried about their standard of living because they consider who they will vote for and how they will vote, Vargas said.

Although immigration remained on the list of top 10 concerns, it had been the eighth most mentioned. Addressing Covid-19, which disproportionately killed and sickened Latinos and affected their jobs and wealth, was ninth. In 2020 it had been consistently a No. 1 issue, Vargas said.

Vargas said both parties have to tune in to the issues ranking as top concerns.

“The price of living and inflation is really top of mind and you can find these other issues … voting rights, abortion and gun safety may also be essential.”

In another question, 84% of Latinos surveyed said they strongly support or support passing of a fresh voting rights act.

The poll was conducted by BSP Research, among whose co-founders conducted polling for the Biden administration.

The polling firm will survey voters through another nine weeks before the midterms.

Other polls of Latinos may also be showing jumps in concern about abortion rights.

A poll of 2,750 Latinos 2,540 were registered to vote and 210 weren’t but were permitted vote showed 19% ranked abortion among the top three issues elected officials should address. It had been the fifth most mentioned, with gun violence as No. 2. That has been up from 3% surveyed in 2020.

Just like the NALEO poll, inflation and the rising cost of living was the very best concern, mentioned by almost 1 / 2 of Latinos in the poll, also conducted by BSP Research for UnidosUS and MiFamilia Vota, two Latino advocacy groups.

Last month, Fernand Amandi, a Democratic pollster and principal with Bendixen and Amandi, said his polling showed Latinos favoring keeping abortion legal by large margins in key states: 30 points in Arizona, 40 points in Nevada and 41 points in Pennsylvania. Those states have competitive gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races this season.

Amandi said at that time that those margins signaled that the Republican Party had overreached on abortion, specifically Republican leaders’ support for overturning Roe v. Wade and the implementation of strict abortion bans in GOP-run states.

Some Republican candidates have already been walking back their support for a complete ban on abortion and tempering their positions as only supportive of restrictions, as Republican pollsters have already been warning it might hurt GOP candidates in competitive races, NBC News reported this week.

The Wall Street Journal reported in its political newsletter that its mid-August polling showed Hispanic women had shifted 15 points in Democrats’ direction, which it related to the abortion issue.

A gap between issues and party support?

BSP pollster and analyst Stephen Nuo noted the tracking poll showed a solid gap between your more progressive policies that Latinos said they supported and who they’re ready to support in Congress.

Once you consider the policies, the policies which were asking Latinos should they support, its a strongly progressive agenda, said Nuo. Whenever we look at support for Democrats, theres a gap there. Latinos are searching for solutions for these progressive issues, however, not necessarily linking that to the Democratic Party.

Alongside inflation, abortion, improving wages and gun violence, lowering the expense of healthcare were the very best five pressing issues named.

The poll showed only half, 52%, of Latinos surveyed said they might vote for a Democratic candidate for Congress within their district, while 35% said theyd support the Republican. At exactly the same point in 2018, just 22% said theyd back a Republican.

The GOP and its own candidates are hitting President Joe Biden hard on inflation and the economy, that have been salient issues for former President Donald Trump in boosting his Latino vote share in 2020.

About 30% of Latinos said they’re doing worse financially than these were 2 yrs ago. However, inflation has been showing signs of slowing. Gas prices in August fell below $4 for the very first time in months.

For all those with Senate races within their state, 50% said they’d back the Democratic candidate.

On outreach, ‘still work to be done’

President Biden was presented with an extremely favorable or favorable rating by 58% of these polled, in comparison to 38% for Trump, that is lower but a margin that in a few races could be big enough for victories.

Half (51%) of Latinos polled was not contacted by way of a party, campaign or other organization about registering to vote. Of these contacted, 57% heard from the Democratic Party, 34% from Republicans and 22% from another person.

That is clearly a slight improvement from the initial NALEO tracking poll of the 2018 midterms, when 58% said that they had not been contacted. Of these contacted that year, 51% heard from Democrats, 28% from Republicans and 14% from the nonprofit, said Rosalind Gold, NALEO’s chief public policy officer. But much more engagement is necessary, Vargas said.

“One out of two Latinos have already been contacted, one out of two haven’t, therefore i think there’s still work to be achieved by the political parties,” Vargas said.

“It would appear that they’re doing better this election cycle than previous election cycles,” Vargas said. “You want to see if that is likely to be sustained and when on the next nine weeks we see a rise in the quantity Latinos who say they are contacted.”

NALEO has projected that 11.61 million Latinos will vote in 2022, like the record 2018 midterm turnout.

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