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Week 3 Running Backs
RB Notes: Christian McCaffrey finally shook loose from his slow focus on a 49-yard fourth quarter run contrary to the Giants. Despite his up to now pedestrian fantasy production, CMC unsurprisingly leads all backs having an 86.5 percent snap rate. Bigger days are ahead. Talking about snap rate, Saquon Barkley‘s is really a monstrous 83.5 percent. His 48 touches are third amongst running backs. This is actually the usage we’ve always wanted. Monday evening does project as a low-scoring, drag-out affair with the Cowboys. Dalvin Cook managed just 10 Week 2 touches even while Kirk Cousins turned in a vintage point-shaving mafia game. Coach Kevin O’Connell kicked himself afterward, saying he’s got to do a more satisfactory job to getting Cook into rhythm. Enter weekly 3 date with a Lions defense surrendering probably the most running back fantasy points through dates with the Commanders and Eagles. No back has handled the ball a lot more than Joe Mixon through two games. Making use of their pass blocking in crisis, expect the Bengals to shoot for weekly 3 reset and a bushel of Mixon touches because they operate as five-point road favorites against a Jets defense that got stepped on by Nick Chubb last Sunday.
The fantasy community has already established a hard time coping with Austin Ekeler‘s initial 2022 usage, including ceding literal goal-line handles to Sony Michel and someone named Zander Horvath in Week 2. He’s lost some third downs to Joshua Kelley. Not ideal, though it isn’t exactly panic time with 21 touches through two games. Ekeler had four handles in the 20 vs. the Chiefs. Kelley and Michel have already been going nowhere as Ekeler’s change-of-pace backs. With Justin Herbert battling an agonizing rib issue, expect a large Ekeler commitment vs. the Jaguars. D’Andre Swift (ankle) is feeling far better after being limited by seven touches and 38 snaps in Week 2. He still managed 87 yards and a touchdown on that paltry usage. With a 52.5 over/under because of this weekend’s showdown with the Vikings, Swift could have scores and big plays for the taking. Derrick Henry has two first downs through two games. He’s got played just 57.9 percent of the Titans’ snaps as game scripts have gone sideways. This ranking is most likely a little bit of an overreaction, but we have to see Henry have a large day in an area just like the one he’s got Sunday. The Titans are narrow two-point home ‘dogs, hopefully presaging a competitive contest with ample carries.
Nick Chubb does as Nick Chubb does. Suppressing his Week 3 upside is really a hellaciously bad scoring environment for Thursday evening contrary to the Steelers. Vegas’ current over/under sits at an eye-bleeding 38.5. Maybe Jeff Bezos should fix this rather than attempting to send a guy to Mars. Leonard Fournette has made a public pledge to fantasy managers to score more touchdowns. Almost literally the final skill player standing in the Bucs’ banged up offense, Fournette includes a date with a Packers run D which has appeared soft through two contests. I ranked Aaron Jones before AJ Dillon for Week 2 not to mention Jones travelled nuclear. Lost in the shuffle is that Dillon still out-touched Jones 19-18. The Bucs certainly are a tough run defense, making Jones’ superior play-making ability the higher Week 3 bet, but there must be a lot of Dillon weeks in the years ahead. Out-touching Melvin Gordon 34-25 through two games and out-snapping him 85-50, Javonte Williams had three Week 2 touches in the five-yard line. Checking nearly every box despite his committee, Williams is really a spiked week waiting to occur.
Alvin Kamara (ribs) seems more likely to return contrary to the Panthers, however the Saints may actually remain among the league’s most injury-opaque teams under Dennis Allen. Najee Harris is in efficiency hell with Mitch Trubisky under center. His 32 touches also leave something to be desired. A likely Thursday night slugfest with the Browns keeps him in the high-end RB2 mix for Week 3. David Montgomery is a rookie contract Benjamin Button, looking more explosive as his four-year deal ticks down rather than vice versa. Justin Fields has 28 pass attempts through two starts. We are able to deduce the Bears’ plan as 2.5-point home favorites contrary to the Texans. With Tyrion Davis-Price (ankle) joining Elijah Mitchell on the shell, Jeff Wilson has consolidated RB2 workloads shockingly quickly. The unchallenged lead back an offense that seems to have found another gear this year, Miles Sanders is really a safe RB2 despite having Jalen Hurts frequently calling their own number in debt zone. Antonio Gibson‘s receiving usage predictably cratered in Week 2. It isn’t an excellent sign that despite having Brian Robinson sidelined Gibson has maxed out at 14 carries days gone by two weeks. He is able to hang his Week 3 hat on potential shootout conditions with the Eagles.
For the next time in fourteen days, Texans coach Lovie Smith has pledged to obtain Dameon Pierce more involved. The rookie is quietly tied for 17th in carries through fourteen days. At the very least through two games, Ezekiel Elliott‘s missing ceiling remains nowhere found. I’m crying uncle on Rhamondre Stevenson vs. Damien Harris. Despite Harris’ higher floor for the moment, Stevenson still includes a clearer way to ceiling. James Robinson includes a daunting touch advantage over Travis Etienne, but he generated 27 yards on 22 Week 2 carries in the event that you remove his 37-yard touchdown where in fact the Colts sort of just stood around. Etienne could slowly close the gap. I’m uncertain what it had been, but Sean McVay proved his point with Cam Akers. McVay hasn’t trusted Darrell Henderson as an attribute back. I’d need to assume Akers’ increased Week 2 usage had not been a one-time thing. Henderson maintains the rankings advantage after remaining better on the floor. I’m not hitting the eject button on Chase Edmonds quite yet even with Raheem Mostert decisively out-touched and narrowly out-snapped him vs. the Ravens. Edmonds’ in-space and receiving work could possibly be critical vs. the mighty Bills.